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Next Stop Grexodus?

Euro crise, Greek crisis, Greece to leave Euro, forecast, Euro area crisis, euro analysis, fundamental analysis main

Despite the rhetoric of the heads of the major institutions and of the government leaders of the European Union, the risk of Greece exiting the euro area is by all means tangible. The distance between the parties are by now too great to be bridged. Even assuming that the Greek PM, Tsipras, if forced to choose between a watered-down compromise and a default, would opt for the former, acceptance of the decision by his party, Syriza, should not be taken for granted. In fact, Tsipras is unlikely to be able to hold in check a formation so ridden within malcontent that even only the initial concessions made at the Eurogroup of 20 February opened an internal front of total opposition to the possibility of a compromise being reached on austerity. A domestic political crisis would open a very uncertain phase in which the radical wing of Syriza would be replaced by parties with markedly different manifestos, even at odds with Syriza’s. 

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