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Expert View

Diverging Monetary Policy Supports Ongoing US Dollar Rally

fundamental-analysys-Diverging-Monetary-Policy-Supports-Ongoing-US-Dollar-Rally

If history is any guide the US dollar’s rally, which showed renewed vigour from this July, is very likely to continue for the rest of this year with increasing evidence that the US interest cycle is in the process of turning.

The US dollar is already at its highest levels since 2010 against a basket of major currencies. But such are the dynamics behind this rally that it could well go on into the first quarter of 2015.

But pull backs are very likely to occur - and some could be sharp given the recent pace of the rally. These pull-backs are likely to be driven by surprises from US data, comments from US policy makers and events in other countries.

 

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